Economic Events Centre: Inflation, Growth & Central Banks

Understand the release before judging the reaction.

The calendar answers when a scheduled item is expected. These guides explain what its figures measure, which comparisons are valid and where revisions or different definitions can change the interpretation.

This centre contains reference explanations. It does not maintain a live news stream, a proprietary consensus survey or a historical release database. The optional calendar is supplied by TradingView; consult the original publisher for definitions, release files and schedule changes.

A six-step release review.

1. Name the exact series. Record country, publisher, coverage, frequency and whether the figure is a level, percentage change, annualised rate or survey index.
2. Fix the timestamp. Confirm the publisher’s release time and translate it into a named time zone. Device time, provider display time and daylight-saving rules can differ.
3. Record expectations beforehand. A calendar’s consensus is a provider or survey estimate, not an official release value. Different providers may show different forecasts or none at all.
4. Read the components and revisions. Compare actual with a like-for-like forecast. Keep the previous original value and any revised value separate; do not treat a revision as new-period growth.
5. Separate observation from explanation. A price move does not prove which component caused it. Expectations, positioning and other simultaneous news can affect the response.
6. Check the execution boundary. A scheduled time does not guarantee a fill, a fixed spread or a reliable stop price. Record what actually happened and avoid turning a headline into an automatic direction rule.

Use the session clock for reference windows and the journal for a consistent post-trade record. The execution-cost guide explains why chart movement and realised results can differ.

Read a hypothetical calendar row carefully.

The current reading is 0.1 percentage point above this hypothetical forecast. The prior reading was revised down by 0.1 percentage point. Neither difference is a 0.1% change in the currency’s value. The release’s actual methodology, components and market expectations still matter.

Keep a dated copy of the source if you intend to analyse reactions later. A currently revised data series can differ from the figures available at the original release, so it cannot automatically be substituted into an event backtest.

Use the original release publishers.

• BLS economic-release schedule: US employment and CPI.
• BEA release schedule: US GDP and personal income/outlays, including PCE prices.
• US Census economic indicators: retail sales and other activity reports.
• Federal Reserve FOMC calendars and materials.
• ECB Governing Council meeting calendar.
• Bank of England monetary-policy dates.
• Bank of Japan meeting schedules and policy materials.

PMI publishers have their own release schedules and rights. The PMI guide links to the relevant official providers and explains why similarly named indices are not interchangeable.

Prepared by InsomniCapital. Definitions and sources checked 2 October 2026. The guides are educational and do not forecast releases or recommend trades. Risk disclosure.